By Takezo Trading | www.takezotrading.com
Welcome back traders! We’re diving straight into this week’s Commitment of Traders (COT) data, where sentiment shifts continue to reveal solid opportunities across major currencies.
CAD – Canadian Dollar
- Speculators: Net short -90,077 (Long positions decreased by -2,691; shorts Increased by 7,966)
- Commercials: Net long 93,571
- % Long Ratio: 15.85%
CAD is over sold territory, there is a good case for CAD strength.
CHF – Swiss Franc
- Speculators: Net short -28,043 (Decreased Longs by -715, shorts decreased by -49)
- Commercials: Net long 33,224
- % Long Ratio: 15.14%
CHF positioning is over sold, even though the long positions decreased, the long ratio is 15.14% . Keep CHF firmly on your radar for upside potential.
GBP – British Pound
- Speculators: Net short -39,093 (Increased longs 8,101, Increased shorts by 13,891)
- Commercials: Net long 35,517
- % Long Ratio: 39.52%
GBP positioning remains neutral this week, offering little clarity. With no clear signals emerging, I’m setting aside GBP for now in my trading decisions based on COT data.
JPY – Japanese Yen
- Speculators: Net long 74,234 ( increased longs by 4,435, increase in the shorts by 12,207)
- Commercials: Net short -73,895
- % Long Ratio: 64.55%
JPY in the neutral territory won’t make any decisions based on the COT data.
EUR – Euro
- Speculators: Net long 115,431 (Decrease longs by -1,058 and shorts Decreased by -530)
- Commercials: Net short -167,063
- % Long Ratio: 65.30%
EUR data this week remains balanced and inconclusive. With no clear directional edge from this week’s data, I’ll avoid using EUR positioning for immediate trade decisions.
NZD – New Zealand Dollar
- Speculators: Net short -4,687 (Increased Long positions by 75; shorts Decreased by -71)
- Commercials: Net long 5,799
- % Long Ratio: 41.32%
NZD is another currency with neutral signals this week. Due to unclear sentiment shifts, I’ll remain neutral on NZD trades based solely on this week’s COT data.
AUD – Australian Dollar
- Speculators: Net short -87,905 (Increased longs by 1,643 Increased short positions by 2,948)
- Commercials: Net long 84,233
- % Long Ratio: 18.42%
AUD is oversold, this means there is ample room for bullish momentum if sentiment shifts positively. I’m keeping a close watch here.
Final Thoughts
This week’s data reinforces bullish scenarios for CAD, CHF, and AUD, each offering substantial upside potential. JPY, GBP, EUR, and NZD provide no immediate clear trade setups this week..
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— Takezo
Data Source: Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)