By Takezo Trading | www.takezotrading.com
Welcome back traders! We’re diving straight into this week’s Commitment of Traders (COT) data, where sentiment shifts continue to reveal solid opportunities across major currencies.
CAD – Canadian Dollar
- Speculators: Net short -105,015 (Long positions increased by 1,369; shorts Increased by 13,305)
- Commercials: Net long 108,560
- % Long Ratio: 13.99%
CAD is over sold territory, there is a good case for CAD strength.
CHF – Swiss Franc
- Speculators: Net short -26,978 (Increased Longs by 200, shorts decreased by -100)
- Commercials: Net long 33,052
- % Long Ratio: 16.53%
CHF positioning is still over sold.
GBP – British Pound
- Speculators: Net short -31,353 (Decreased longs -5,302, Increased shorts by 866)
- Commercials: Net long 25,962
- % Long Ratio: 41.45%
GBP positioning remains neutral this week, offering little clarity. With no clear signals emerging, I’m setting aside GBP for now in my trading decisions based on COT data.
JPY – Japanese Yen
- Speculators: Net long 84,484 ( increased longs by 2,402, Decrease in the shorts by -4,501)
- Commercials: Net short -90,150
- % Long Ratio: 66.43%
JPY in the neutral territory won’t make any decisions based on the COT data.
EUR – Euro
- Speculators: Net long 123,039 (Increase longs by 5,667 and shorts Increased by 1,373)
- Commercials: Net short -173,206
- % Long Ratio: 65.62%
EUR data this week remains balanced and inconclusive. With no clear directional edge from this week’s data, I’ll avoid using EUR positioning for immediate trade decisions.
NZD – New Zealand Dollar
- Speculators: Net short -6,105 (Increased Long positions by 4,157; shorts Increased by 6,192)
- Commercials: Net long 7,911
- % Long Ratio: 42.44%
NZD is another currency with neutral signals this week. Due to unclear sentiment shifts, I’ll remain neutral on NZD trades based solely on this week’s COT data.
AUD – Australian Dollar
- Speculators: Net short -100,590 (Decreased longs by -2,968 Increased short positions by 2,735)
- Commercials: Net long 101,285
- % Long Ratio: 18.17%
AUD is oversold, this means there is ample room for bullish momentum if sentiment shifts positively. I’m keeping a close watch here.
Final Thoughts
This week’s data reinforces bullish scenarios for CAD, CHF, and AUD, each offering substantial upside potential. JPY, GBP, EUR, and NZD provide no immediate clear trade setups this week..
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— Takezo
Data Source: Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)