By Takezo Trading | www.takezotrading.com
Welcome back traders! We’re diving straight into this week’s Commitment of Traders (COT) data, where sentiment shifts continue to reveal solid opportunities across major currencies.
CAD – Canadian Dollar
- Speculators: Net short -114,806 (Long positions Decreased by -2,940; shorts increased slightly by 4,689)
- Commercials: Net long 124,181
- % Long Ratio: 11.95%
CAD is over sold territory, there is a good case for CAD strength.
CHF – Swiss Franc
- Speculators: Net short -23,018 (Increased Longs by 1,992, shorts decreased by -1,030)
- Commercials: Net long 26,659
- % Long Ratio: 20.84%
CHF positioning is still over sold.
GBP – British Pound
- Speculators: Net short -1,964 (Increased longs 3,704 Decreased shorts by -912)
- Commercials: Net Short -3,204
- % Long Ratio: 49.43%
GBP positioning flipped in the past weeks
JPY – Japanese Yen
- Speculators: Net long 79,500 ( increased longs by 14,727, Decreased shorts by -3,362)
- Commercials: Net short -83,239
- % Long Ratio: 64.54%
JPY Large increase in long positions off of the massive drop off in long positions last week.
EUR – Euro
- Speculators: Net long 114,345 (Decrease longs by -789 and shorts Increased by 2,625)
- Commercials: Net short -165,777
- % Long Ratio: 64.64%
EUR data this week remains balanced and inconclusive. With no clear directional edge from this week’s data, I’ll avoid using EUR COT positioning for immediate trade decisions.
NZD – New Zealand Dollar
- Speculators: Net short -21,120 (Increased Long positions by 3,044; shorts Increased by 6,160)
- Commercials: Net long 22,571
- % Long Ratio: 26.90%
NZD is over sold, look for Buying opportunities.
AUD – Australian Dollar
- Speculators: Net short -59,590 (Increased longs by 1,718 Increased short positions by 10,148)
- Commercials: Net long 48,914
- % Long Ratio: 29.25%
AUD is oversold, this means there is ample room for bullish momentum if sentiment shifts positively. I’m keeping a close watch here.
Final Thoughts
This week’s data reinforces bullish scenarios for CAD, CHF, GBP, NZD, AUD, each offering substantial upside potential. JPY, EUR provide no immediate clear trade setups from the COT data this week..
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— Takezo
Data Source: Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)